Conservative Rising in Canada? Not yet.

So here in Canada we have political corruption at it's finest i'm told by the media. The Liberals have been stealing our money and sending it to Quebec for years - like that is truly a shock to English speaking Canada. Our Prime Minister says he wasn't involved, which is very beleivable - once you ignore the fact that he was the Finance Minister at the time.

Those on the right believe that this is their coming, that many voters will turn on the Liberals and vote Conservative. They also believe that if you vote Liberal you are voting for corruption and against a Canadian value (being honest) - they are wrong.

Canadians vote based on their morals, values and beleifs. We cannot be expected to vote against these just because the current bodies filling the suits in Ottawa are corrupt - all politicians of any significance are corrupt - and Canadians know this.

No matter which party has won past provincial or federal elections, we have always been told one thing during their election campaign, and been witness to actions after they take power that prove them to be lies for votes. So why would we vote against our values only to elect different politicians who we know from past experience will lie as well?

In my humble opinion, the only Canadian party (of significance) that is gaining from the current situation is the NDP. They finished a close second for some seats last year, and are more likely to get former Liberal voters than the Coservatives...the Liberal and NDP party morals/values are very similar after all.

And now the NDP are sitting on the edge of the Liberal bed starting to get undressed - by negotiating support for budget concessions. This can work to the benefit of the citizens of Canada, because the NDP pushes a more 'regular Joe working-class' agenda.

The other political party that is benefiting from this crap is the seperatist Bloc Quebecios. They will take Liberal seats in the next election and gain overall in Quebec. Seperation is coming, and it's coming faster than you think. This scandal the Liberals are mired in is certainly helping distance Quebec and the West from Ontario - which they see as the only reason the Liberals are in power.

With the NDP and Liberals hooking up to keep the government going about its agenda, and the Conservatives and the Bloc contemplating taking down the government together we have quite a clear line between sides.

The Conservatives and the Bloc have to team up to bring down the government down, but at the same time they also have to ensure they do not look too cozy in public. Quebecers don't want to see the Conservatives in power, because they think Harper will be too pro-American - and they are probably right. And the Conservatives cannot be seen to be helping the Bloc - who is all about making Quebec a soveriegn nation - gain more power and influence.

Quite a situation we have here. IMHO the Conservatives would be crazy to bring down the government right now. Canadians do not want an election right now and are not ready to go against their values to vote for Harper.

The best the Conservatives could hope for - and this is in a perfect world - is that enough people in Quebec would go to the Bloc from the Liberals, and that Liberal voters will go to them instead of the NDP. In this scenario, I think at best they could win a minority - and a shaky one at that.

They are best to bide their time and hope more of the crap flying around the Gomery Commission sticks to Paul Martin.

a quick one on canadian politics right now

So we have the Liberals canceling an opposition day, and the Conservatives, NDP and Bloc all making not so veiled threats to bring down the government in the short to medium term. Like they said, the gloves are off going forward.

Meanwhile at the Gomery Spend-a-thon, a whole bunch of crap is being tossed about and costing us a fortune, while they do their best to cover it up without it being obvious. I think right now it is like musical chairs to see who the fall guys are going to be....it remains to be seen who will be left standing when the music stops.

I have to say, I don't think the Conservatives will win with Stephen Harper as leader if Martin's government is brought down. Not only that, but I don't think Canadians are fed up enough with the Liberals to vote Conservative. Doing this means setting aside some core values.

As far as i'm concerned Jack Layton of the NDP is the most eloquent and charismatic leader of them all. Everytime I see him lately he is making good points - too bad i'm not sure they could build a viable government in the near future, and I think that is what most Canadians think too. They have to grow from the grassroots up.

So - depending on what happens with Gomery - the Conservatives will still not get the support in the east, the Bloc will dominate Quebec, and the Liberals will get just enough to form another minority government.